ET Poll: Modi wave sweeps UP, Bihar; but Cong not submerged

THE ECONOMIC TIMES Fri, Oct 18, 2013 | 02:33 PM IST Special Newsletter

Modi's development model more appealing than Rahul Gandhi’s Modi’s opponents may be scoffing at his development discourse but the electorate seems to be buying into his campaign pitch. Modi wave in UP, Bihar: Poll results are best interpreted as trends Paraphrased and simplified, while BJP’s fortunes are indeed contingent on what happens in Bihar/UP, Congress fortunes are tied much more to south. ET Poll in graphics: Modi triumphs over Rahul in UP & Bihar ET did one of the largest surveys ahead of Battle 2014 and its predictions show a clear surge building up in favour of the saffron party in the cowbelt.

Featured ET poll: Modi-mania sweeps UP, Bihar; races ahead of Rahul Gandhi Every second voter in the two states is seen rooting for Modi’s PM bid & surge in his approval ratings is in stark contrast with the numbers for Rahul Gandhi. read more

More Stories BJP-led NDA the best alliance to run the country, according to 50% of respondents The parliamentary constituencies currently controlled by the SP and the BSP showed an increased preference for an NDA government at the Centre. ET poll for 2014 election: Gauging the heartland of UP & Bihar Will the entry of Modi, who is yet to kick off his campaign in UP & Bihar, convert the wave into a tsunami BJP needs to carry it home? BJP ahead in UP & Bihar; Mulayam, Nitish losing ground Uttar Pradesh and Bihar are seeing a rising tide of support for BJP, but not enough for it to sweep the electoral stakes in the two main battleground states, a survey by ET has found. SP scores lowest ratings; disillusioned UP harks back to Mayawati's reign The BJP is expected to highlight the backward caste identity of Modi in the state where caste affiliations play a critical role in electoral outcomes. BJP may face a consolidated opposition instead of a divided one Opinion polls in India are, at the best of times, a hit and miss affair, though to be fair their strike rate in the recent past has been better. Narendra Modi's charisma may not be good enough for BJP The BJP makes big gains, but not enough. The Congress loses big time, but a web of alliance possibilities offers it a safety net. Bihar's Nitish Kumar holds his ground, but may cede some of it to Narendra Modi The poll findings also show that Kumar will need an alliance with the Congress to mop up a major share of Muslim votes. Congress prognosis runs risk of being reality-challenged India Inc's unease over central government's strong arm tactics must be worrying the Grand Old Party's leadership. SP out of favour after Muzaffarnagar riots, Narendra Modi's popularity rises According to the survey, Narendra Modi registered a sharp rise in popularity after he was named the BJP’s prime ministerial candidate on September 13. UP under Narendra Modi's sway, Rahul Gandhi's chances dim The SP is expected to lose heavily. This could put paid to Mulayam Singh Yadav’s plans to pitch himself as the PM candidate of the Third Front.

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