Equity markets worried on GDP growth for 2013-14 with analysis forecasts coming in lower than government forecast of around 6.5%. Market expectations of the corporate sector showing recovery in the fourth quarter of 2012-13 is low with data from vehicle sales to tax collections showing a weak economy that is lacking in demand.
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The benchmark government bond the 8.15% 2022 bond saw yields rise 2bps week on week despite rate cut expectations. The other well traded bonds of 8.33% 2026 and 8.97% 2030 also saw yields close up 3bps each. On the other hand OIS (Overnight Index Swaps) yields and corporate bond yields trended down on the back of rate cut expectations. One and five year OIS yields fell 7bps each while five and ten year corporate bond yields fell 10bps each week on week. Government bonds will lag OIS and corporate bonds in terms of fall in yields as the market goes into a fresh government borrowing program starting April 2013.
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