Sunday 10 March 2013

Weekly market analysis - Sentiments to stay positive

 

 

 


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Weekly market analysis – Market sentiments to be positive for equities and bonds

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Weekly market analysis – week ended 8th March 2013

Equity market analysis – US job data to keep sentiments upbeat

US jobs data negated the spending cuts of USD 85 billion that kicked in March 2013 leading to the Dow closing last week at record highs. The US economy added a larger than expected 236,000 jobs on the month of February and the unemployment rate dropped to a four year low of 7.7%. The strong job growth numbers point to the positive effects of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) stimulus, in the form of near zero interest rates and monthly bond purchases of USD 85 billion, on the economy. 

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Fixed Income market analysis- Market positioning for rate cuts 

The RBI is expected to cut the benchmark policy rate the repo rate by 25bps in its mid term policy review on the 19th of March. Bond markets are starting to factor in the 25bps repo rate cut in bond yields. The benchmark ten year government bond the 8.15% 2022 bond saw yields drop by 6bps week on week on the back of rate cut expectations. Government bond yields are likely to drop further as the bond market positions for an expected cut in repo rates. 

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Arjun Parthasarathy

Editor: Investors are Idiots.com

www.investorsareidiots.com

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Information herein is believed to be reliable but the editor of Investors are Idiots.com Arjun Parthasarathy does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions and estimates are subject to change without notice. This information is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The financial markets are inherently risky and it is assumed that those who trade these markets are fully aware of the risk of real loss involved. Unauthorized copying, distribution or sale of this publication is strictly prohibited. The author of the articles may have investments in instruments that are the subject of the articles.

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